EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Gillingham
Home
4-3
Full time
Priestfield Stadium
Brighton U21
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gillingham wins
0
Draws
0
Brighton U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
66%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Gillingham
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Brighton U21
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Gillingham | Brighton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 0/9 0% |
At half time
Gillingham
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
Brighton U21
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Gillingham face Brighton U21 in EFL Trophy. Gillingham have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Brighton U21 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Gillingham, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gillingham to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Gillingham, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Brighton U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Gillingham Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium as part of the EFL Trophy.
