National League Cup · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Hartlepool
Home
1-2
Full time
Victoria Park
Newcastle United U21
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.59 - 1.31
Win probability
Home
37%
Draw
26%
Away
37%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hartlepool wins
0
Draws
0
Newcastle United U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
40%
Attack
60%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
37%
Win probability
37%
Home and away record
Hartlepool
last 8 at home
2W
0D
6L
0.75
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.13
conceded a game
Newcastle United U21
last 6 away from home
1W
0D
5L
0.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Hartlepool | Newcastle United U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 4/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Hartlepool
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Newcastle United U21
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Hartlepool face Newcastle United U21 in National League Cup. Hartlepool have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Newcastle United U21 have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (37% vs 37%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 37% win probability for Hartlepool, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 37% probability for Newcastle United U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Victoria Park as part of the National League Cup.
