Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
National League Cup · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Scunthorpe
Home
2-2
Full time
Attis Arena
Derby County U21
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
11%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Scunthorpe wins
0
Draws
0
Derby County U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
26%
20%
Attack
73%
46%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Scunthorpe
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.71
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Derby County U21
last 5 away from home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
2.20
scored a game
3.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Scunthorpe | Derby County U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 8/9 89% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Scunthorpe
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Derby County U21
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
22%
Behind
56%
Match Preview & Analysis
Scunthorpe face Derby County U21 in National League Cup. Scunthorpe have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game). Derby County U21 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 16 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 74% probability backing Scunthorpe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Scunthorpe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for Scunthorpe, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Derby County U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Scunthorpe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Attis Arena as part of the National League Cup.
