Premier League · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Al Ahed
Home
1-0
Full time
Beirut Municipal Stadium
Al Mabarrah
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
17%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Al Ahed wins
0
Draws
0
Al Mabarrah wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
5%
40%
Attack
13%
33%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
76%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
Al Ahed
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Al Mabarrah
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Al Ahed | Al Mabarrah | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 4/5 80% |
At half time
Al Ahed
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
Al Mabarrah
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Match Preview & Analysis
Al Ahed face Al Mabarrah in Premier League. Al Ahed have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game). Al Mabarrah have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 23 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With a 76% probability backing Al Ahed, home advantage and superior chance creation make Al Ahed to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for Al Ahed, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Al Mabarrah. Our top recommended betting pick is Al Ahed Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Beirut Municipal Stadium as part of the Premier League.
