Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Ashton United
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Alfreton Town
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.54 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
35%
Draw
33%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ashton United wins
0
Draws
0
Alfreton Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
40%
60%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
35%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Ashton United
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Alfreton Town
last 6 away from home
1W
0D
5L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ashton United | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Ashton United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Alfreton Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Alfreton Town |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | +1 | 23 |
| 17 |
Ashton United |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ashton United face Alfreton Town in Non League Premier - Northern. Ashton United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Alfreton Town have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With evenly matched metrics (35% vs 32%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 35% win probability for Ashton United, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Alfreton Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
