Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Ashton United
Home
18:45
d ::
Venue TBC
Alfreton Town
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.54 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
35%
Draw
33%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ashton United wins
0
Draws
0
Alfreton Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
20%
46%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
35%
Win probability
32%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alf Alfreton Town | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +4 | 15 |
| 15 | Ash Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ashton United face Alfreton Town in Non League Premier - Northern. Ashton United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Alfreton Town have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With evenly matched metrics (35% vs 32%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 35% win probability for Ashton United, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Alfreton Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
