Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Gainsborough Trinity
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Ilkeston Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
13%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gainsborough Trinity wins
0
Draws
0
Ilkeston Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
5%
93%
Attack
13%
53%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Gainsborough Trinity
last 8 at home
3W
0D
5L
1.13
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Ilkeston Town
last 8 away from home
1W
1D
6L
0.50
points a game
0.88
scored a game
2.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Gainsborough Trinity | Ilkeston Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
Gainsborough Trinity
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Ilkeston Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
20%
Behind
70%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Gainsborough Trinity |
17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +9 | 29 |
| 20 |
Ilkeston Town |
17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -24 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Gainsborough Trinity face Ilkeston Town in Non League Premier - Northern. Gainsborough Trinity have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Ilkeston Town have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 13 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 82% probability backing Gainsborough Trinity, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gainsborough Trinity to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Gainsborough Trinity, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Ilkeston Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Gainsborough Trinity Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
