Championship · Wednesday, 14 Oct 2026
QPR
Home
18:45
d ::
Loftus Road
Derby
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
QPR wins
0
Draws
0
Derby wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
13%
33%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Team news
QPR
- K. Dembele · Knee Injury
- B. Kemper · Ankle Injury
- I. Chair · Muscle Injury
- R. Kone · Muscle Injury
- T. Lamptey · Muscle Injury
- D. Cirkin · Red Card
- J. Dunne · Knee Injury
- J. Obikwu · Inactive
Derby
- P. Agyemang · Achilles Tendon Injury
- M. Clarke · Calf Injury
- D. Murkin · Hamstring Injury
- C. Forsyth · Knee Injury
- F. Bilbija · Back Injury
- H. Meister · Concussion
- J. Widell Zetterstrom · Knee Injury
- L. Travis · Leg Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Match Preview & Analysis
QPR face Derby in Championship. QPR have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Derby have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for QPR, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Derby. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 14 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Loftus Road as part of the Championship.
