UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 15 Oct 2026
Union St. Gilloise
Home
16:45
d ::
Den Dreef Stadium
Real Sociedad
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.64
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
21%
Away
52%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Union St. Gilloise wins
0
Draws
0
Real Sociedad wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
60%
93%
Attack
66%
80%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
52%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Union St. Gilloise face Real Sociedad in UEFA Europa League. Union St. Gilloise have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Real Sociedad have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 11 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
Real Sociedad's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 52% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Real Sociedad to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Union St. Gilloise, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 52% probability for Real Sociedad. Our top recommended betting pick is Real Sociedad Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 15 Oct 2026 at 16:45 (East Africa Time) at Den Dreef Stadium as part of the UEFA Europa League.
