Liga 3 · Friday, 16 Oct 2026
Guria
Home
11:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Varketili
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
22%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guria wins
0
Draws
0
Varketili wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
53%
95%
Attack
80%
95%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
18%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gur Guria | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | +52 | 51 |
| 2 | Var Varketili | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | +40 | 49 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Guria face Varketili in Liga 3. Guria have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Varketili have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 60% probability backing Guria, home advantage and superior chance creation make Guria to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Guria, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Varketili. Our top recommended betting pick is Guria Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 16 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga 3.
