Eredivisie · Friday, 16 Oct 2026
Heerenveen
Home
18:00
d ::
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Excelsior
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Heerenveen wins
0
Draws
0
Excelsior wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Team news
Heerenveen
- M. Egbring · Ankle Injury
- M. Hilgers · Knee Injury
- D. Proper · Hamstring Injury
- M. Linday · Inactive
- O. Braude · Injury
Excelsior
- N. Naujoks · Injury
- K. Bos · Shoulder Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Exc Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 10 | Hee Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Heerenveen face Excelsior in Eredivisie. Heerenveen have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Excelsior have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Heerenveen, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Excelsior. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 16 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Abe Lenstra Stadion as part of the Eredivisie.
