Ligue 1 · Friday, 16 Oct 2026
Le Mans
Home
18:45
d ::
MMArena
Toulouse
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
20%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Le Mans wins
0
Draws
0
Toulouse wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
60%
40%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Le Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Tou Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Le Mans face Toulouse in Ligue 1. Le Mans have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Toulouse have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 50% probability backing Le Mans, home advantage and superior chance creation make Le Mans to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Le Mans, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Toulouse. Our top recommended betting pick is Le Mans Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 16 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at MMArena as part of the Ligue 1.
