Ligue 1 · Friday, 16 Oct 2026
Le Mans
Home
18:45
d ::
MMArena
Toulouse
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Le Mans wins
0
Draws
0
Toulouse wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
26%
53%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Team news
Le Mans
- E. Colas · Injury
- D. Sidibe · Yellow Cards
- L. Buades · Knock
- A. Bourabaa · Ankle Injury
- T. Eyoum · Coach's decision
- E. Quarshie · Coach's decision
- M. Rossignol · Coach's decision
- W. Harhouz · Coach's decision
Toulouse
- R. Nicolaisen · Calf Injury
- A. Francis · Muscle Injury
- A. Donnum · Personal Reasons
- G. Restes · Injury
- Y. Gboho · Transfer negotiations
- A. Vossah · Yellow Cards
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Match Preview & Analysis
Le Mans face Toulouse in Ligue 1. Le Mans have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Toulouse have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Le Mans, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Toulouse. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 16 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at MMArena as part of the Ligue 1.
