Paraense A3 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Parauapebas
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Gavião
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.11 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
17%
Draw
33%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.71
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Parauapebas wins
1
Draws
1
Gavião wins
16 Sep 2026
Gavião
2 - 2
Parauapebas
05 Sep 2026
Parauapebas
0 - 1
Gavião
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
86%
33%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
86%
5%
Head-to-head
50%
17%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Parauapebas
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Gavião
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Parauapebas | Gavião | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/5 80% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Parauapebas
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
Gavião
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Parauapebas face Gavião in Paraense A3. Parauapebas have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Gavião have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Parauapebas won 0, Gavião won 1 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
Gavião's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Gavião to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 17% win probability for Parauapebas, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Gavião. Our top recommended betting pick is Gavião Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.71 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Paraense A3.
