Derde Divisie · Saturday, 17 Oct 2026
Staphorst
Home
12:30
d ::
Venue TBC
DVS 33 Ermelo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
22%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Staphorst wins
0
Draws
0
DVS 33 Ermelo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
60%
Attack
53%
20%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | DVS DVS 33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Sta Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Staphorst face DVS 33 Ermelo in Derde Divisie. Staphorst have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game). DVS 33 Ermelo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 12 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
With a 49% probability backing Staphorst, home advantage and superior chance creation make Staphorst to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Staphorst, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for DVS 33 Ermelo. Our top recommended betting pick is Staphorst Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 17 Oct 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
