Welsh Cup · Saturday, 17 Oct 2026
Carmarthen Town
Home
13:00
d ::
Richmond Park
Newport City
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
21%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Carmarthen Town wins
0
Draws
0
Newport City wins
08 Aug 2026
Newport City
1 - 2
Carmarthen Town
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
66%
Attack
53%
33%
Defence
53%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
34%
Win probability
45%
Match Preview & Analysis
Carmarthen Town face Newport City in Welsh Cup. Carmarthen Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). Newport City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Carmarthen Town won 1, Newport City won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
Newport City's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Newport City to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for Carmarthen Town, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Newport City. Our top recommended betting pick is Newport City Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 17 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Richmond Park as part of the Welsh Cup.
