Championship · Saturday, 17 Oct 2026
Derby
Home
14:00
d ::
Pride Park
Stoke City
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.82
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
21%
Away
60%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Derby v Stoke City pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Derby wins
0
Draws
0
Stoke City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
73%
26%
Attack
66%
40%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sto Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 22 | Der Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Derby face Stoke City in Championship. Derby have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game). Stoke City have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Stoke City's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 60% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Stoke City to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Derby, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 60% probability for Stoke City. Our top recommended betting pick is Stoke City Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 17 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Pride Park as part of the Championship.
