Ligi kuu Bara · Saturday, 17 Oct 2026
Kagera Sugar
Home
16:00
d ::
Kaitaba Stadium
Polisi Tanzania
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 2.22
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
12%
Away
78%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
65%
1.45
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kagera Sugar wins
0
Draws
0
Polisi Tanzania wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
46%
20%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
9%
Win probability
78%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Polisi Tanzania |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 15 |
Kagera Sugar |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Kagera Sugar face Polisi Tanzania in Ligi kuu Bara. Kagera Sugar have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game). Polisi Tanzania have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Polisi Tanzania's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 78% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Polisi Tanzania to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Kagera Sugar, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 78% probability for Polisi Tanzania. Our top recommended betting pick is Polisi Tanzania Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 17 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Kaitaba Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
