Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Saturday, 17 Oct 2026
Las Palmas III
Home
16:30
d ::
Venue TBC
Mensajero
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
29%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Las Palmas III wins
0
Draws
0
Mensajero wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
46%
66%
Attack
40%
58%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Mensajero |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |
Las Palmas III |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Las Palmas III face Mensajero in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12. Las Palmas III have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.75 points per game). Mensajero have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 58% probability backing Las Palmas III, home advantage and superior chance creation make Las Palmas III to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Las Palmas III, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Mensajero. Our top recommended betting pick is Las Palmas III Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 17 Oct 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
