Primera Nacional · Saturday, 17 Oct 2026
Tristan Suarez
Home
18:00
d ::
Estadio 20 de Octubre
Patronato
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
28%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tristan Suarez wins
0
Draws
0
Patronato wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
26%
26%
Attack
26%
95%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tri Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | +17 | 58 |
| 16 | Pat Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tristan Suarez face Patronato in Primera Nacional. Tristan Suarez have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 0 (1.8 points per game). Patronato have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 61% probability backing Tristan Suarez, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tristan Suarez to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Tristan Suarez, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Patronato. Our top recommended betting pick is Tristan Suarez Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 17 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre as part of the Primera Nacional.
