Liga MX · Sunday, 18 Oct 2026
Toluca
Home
01:00
d ::
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Atletico San Luis
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
19%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Toluca wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico San Luis wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
40%
73%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Toluca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 15 |
Atletico San Luis |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Toluca face Atletico San Luis in Liga MX. Toluca have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Atletico San Luis have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 67% probability backing Toluca, home advantage and superior chance creation make Toluca to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Toluca, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Atletico San Luis. Our top recommended betting pick is Toluca Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 18 Oct 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Diez as part of the Liga MX.
