Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, 18 Oct 2026
Piratas
Home
01:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Tepatitlán
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
8%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72%
1.31
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Piratas wins
0
Draws
0
Tepatitlán wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
86%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pir Piratas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 16 | Tep Tepatitlán | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -23 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Piratas face Tepatitlán in Liga de Expansión MX. Piratas have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Tepatitlán have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 90% probability backing Piratas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Piratas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Piratas, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Tepatitlán. Our top recommended betting pick is Piratas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 18 Oct 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
