Primera A · Sunday, 18 Oct 2026
Independiente Medellin
Home
01:10
d ::
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Once Caldas
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
21%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Independiente Medellin wins
0
Draws
0
Once Caldas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
66%
Attack
20%
53%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
21%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ind Independiente Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 12 | Onc Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Independiente Medellin face Once Caldas in Primera A. Independiente Medellin have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game). Once Caldas have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 57% probability backing Independiente Medellin, home advantage and superior chance creation make Independiente Medellin to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Independiente Medellin, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Once Caldas. Our top recommended betting pick is Independiente Medellin Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 18 Oct 2026 at 01:10 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot as part of the Primera A.
