Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sunday, 18 Oct 2026
La Calzada
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
River Ebro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
4%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
La Calzada wins
0
Draws
0
River Ebro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
6%
66%
Attack
20%
46%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
La Calzada
last 5 at home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
River Ebro
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.33
scored a game
3.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| La Calzada | River Ebro | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
La Calzada
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
River Ebro
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
La Calzada face River Ebro in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16. La Calzada have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (2.4 points per game). River Ebro have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing La Calzada, home advantage and superior chance creation make La Calzada to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for La Calzada, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for River Ebro. Our top recommended betting pick is La Calzada Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 18 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
