Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Sunday, 18 Oct 2026
Revilla
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Naval Reinosa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
5%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Revilla wins
0
Draws
0
Naval Reinosa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
13%
86%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
88%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Revilla
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
2.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Naval Reinosa
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Revilla | Naval Reinosa | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Revilla
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Naval Reinosa
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Revilla |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 18 |
Naval Reinosa |
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Revilla face Naval Reinosa in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3. Revilla have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game). Naval Reinosa have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing Revilla, home advantage and superior chance creation make Revilla to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for Revilla, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Naval Reinosa. Our top recommended betting pick is Revilla Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 18 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
