Premier League · Tuesday, 20 Oct 2026
Mebrat Hayl
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Sheger Ketema
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.11 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
17%
Draw
38%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
28%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.62
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mebrat Hayl wins
0
Draws
0
Sheger Ketema wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
77%
26%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
95%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
17%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Mebrat Hayl
last 3 at home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Sheger Ketema
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Mebrat Hayl | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 2/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 0/3 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/3 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Mebrat Hayl
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Sheger Ketema
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Mebrat Hayl |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sheger Ketema |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Mebrat Hayl face Sheger Ketema in Premier League. Mebrat Hayl have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). Sheger Ketema have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 0 (2.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 28% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
Sheger Ketema's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Sheger Ketema to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 17% win probability for Mebrat Hayl, a 38% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Sheger Ketema. Our top recommended betting pick is Sheger Ketema Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.62 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 20 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Premier League.
