Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Primera B Metropolitana · Tuesday, 14 Jul 2026
Deportivo Merlo
Home
3-2
Full time
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
Real Pilar
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.23 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
22%
Draw
32%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Merlo wins
0
Draws
0
Real Pilar wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
8%
Recent form
55%
25%
Attack
33%
8%
Defence
77%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
22%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Deportivo Merlo
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Real Pilar
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Deportivo Merlo | Real Pilar | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Deportivo Merlo
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Real Pilar
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Real Pilar |
41 | 18 | 11 | 12 | +4 | 65 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Merlo |
41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | -15 | 48 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Merlo face Real Pilar in Primera B Metropolitana. Deportivo Merlo have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 11 (0.25 points per game). Real Pilar have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
Real Pilar's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Real Pilar to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 22% win probability for Deportivo Merlo, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Real Pilar. Our top recommended betting pick is Real Pilar Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 14 Jul 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
