Primera C · Saturday, 17 Oct 2026
Mercedes
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Leones de Rosario
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mercedes wins
0
Draws
0
Leones de Rosario wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
73%
26%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Mercedes
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.63
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Leones de Rosario
last 8 away from home
2W
5D
1L
1.38
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Mercedes | Leones de Rosario | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Mercedes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Leones de Rosario
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Leones de Rosario |
31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 48 |
| 7 |
Mercedes |
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | +6 | 44 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Mercedes face Leones de Rosario in Primera C. Mercedes have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Leones de Rosario have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Mercedes, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Leones de Rosario. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 17 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera C.
