CONMEBOL Libertadores · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
Palmeiras
Home
0-1
Full time
Nubank Parque
Fluminense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
24%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Palmeiras wins
0
Draws
1
Fluminense wins
15 Oct 2026
Fluminense
1 - 2
Palmeiras
15 Aug 2026
Fluminense
3 - 2
Palmeiras
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
40%
60%
Attack
60%
86%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Palmeiras
last 8 at home
6W
2D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.38
conceded a game
Fluminense
last 8 away from home
1W
4D
3L
0.88
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Palmeiras | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Palmeiras
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Fluminense
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Palmeiras face Fluminense in CONMEBOL Libertadores. Palmeiras have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). Fluminense have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Palmeiras won 1, Fluminense won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 57% probability backing Palmeiras, home advantage and superior chance creation make Palmeiras to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Palmeiras, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Fluminense. Our top recommended betting pick is Palmeiras Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Nubank Parque as part of the CONMEBOL Libertadores.
