Liga 1 · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
PSM Makassar
Home
1-0
Full time
Gelora BJ Habibie
Persebaya Surabaya
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.01 - 1.95
Win probability
Home
13%
Draw
21%
Away
66%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
PSM Makassar wins
0
Draws
0
Persebaya Surabaya wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
40%
20%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
13%
Win probability
66%
Home and away record
PSM Makassar
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Persebaya Surabaya
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| PSM Makassar | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 100% 5/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 0/9 0% |
At half time
PSM Makassar
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Persebaya Surabaya
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
56%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Persebaya Surabaya |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |
PSM Makassar |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
PSM Makassar face Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1. PSM Makassar have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 12 (1 points per game). Persebaya Surabaya have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Persebaya Surabaya's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 66% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Persebaya Surabaya to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 13% win probability for PSM Makassar, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 66% probability for Persebaya Surabaya. Our top recommended betting pick is Persebaya Surabaya Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 08:30 (East Africa Time) at Gelora BJ Habibie as part of the Liga 1.
