Birinci Dasta · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
MOIK
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Karvan
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
32%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
MOIK wins
0
Draws
0
Karvan wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
60%
Attack
60%
80%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
MOIK
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Karvan
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| MOIK | Karvan | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
MOIK
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Karvan
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
0%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
MOIK face Karvan in Birinci Dasta. MOIK have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Karvan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With a 46% probability backing MOIK, home advantage and superior chance creation make MOIK to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for MOIK, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Karvan. Our top recommended betting pick is MOIK Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Birinci Dasta.
