Premier League · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
SC Villa
Home
2-0
Full time
Mutesa II Stadium
Mbarara City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
33%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
27%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.8
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
SC Villa wins
0
Draws
0
Mbarara City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
13%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
62%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
SC Villa
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Mbarara City
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| SC Villa | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/5 80% |
At half time
SC Villa
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Mbarara City
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
SC Villa face Mbarara City in Premier League. SC Villa have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Mbarara City have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 27% and Both Teams to Score at 27%.
With a 62% probability backing SC Villa, home advantage and superior chance creation make SC Villa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for SC Villa, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Mbarara City. Our top recommended betting pick is SC Villa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.8 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 27%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Mutesa II Stadium as part of the Premier League.
