Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Stars League · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
Al-Gharafa
Home
2-2
Full time
Al Gharafa Stadium
Al Ahli Doha
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.61 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
38%
Draw
18%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
77%
1.22
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
77%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Al-Gharafa wins
0
Draws
0
Al Ahli Doha wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
53%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
38%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Al-Gharafa
last 5 at home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Al Ahli Doha
last 5 away from home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Al-Gharafa | Al Ahli Doha | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Al-Gharafa
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Al Ahli Doha
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Al-Gharafa face Al Ahli Doha in Stars League. Al-Gharafa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Al Ahli Doha have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
Al Ahli Doha's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Al Ahli Doha to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 38% win probability for Al-Gharafa, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Al Ahli Doha. Our top recommended betting pick is Al Ahli Doha Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 16:45 (East Africa Time) at Al Gharafa Stadium as part of the Stars League.
