Esiliiga A · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
Flora II
Home
3-2
Full time
Sportland Arena
Nõmme United II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.45 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
73%
Draw
13%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Flora II wins
2
Draws
0
Nõmme United II wins
12 Jul 2026
Nõmme United II
1 - 1
Flora II
30 Jun 2026
Nõmme United II
3 - 3
Flora II
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
60%
73%
Attack
60%
13%
Defence
46%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
73%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Flora II
last 7 at home
3W
0D
4L
1.29
points a game
1.86
scored a game
1.71
conceded a game
Nõmme United II
last 8 away from home
1W
1D
6L
0.50
points a game
1.88
scored a game
3.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Flora II | Nõmme United II | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Flora II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Nõmme United II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Flora II face Nõmme United II in Esiliiga A. Flora II have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 13 (0.8 points per game). Nõmme United II have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Flora II won 0, Nõmme United II won 0 and 2 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With a 73% probability backing Flora II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Flora II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 73% win probability for Flora II, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Nõmme United II. Our top recommended betting pick is Flora II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Sportland Arena as part of the Esiliiga A.
