Premier League · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
KCCA
Home
16:00
d ::
MTN Omondi Stadium
UPDF
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.04 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
14%
Draw
55%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Draw/Away
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
22%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.22
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
KCCA wins
0
Draws
0
UPDF wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
26%
86%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
14%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
KCCA
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
UPDF
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| KCCA | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 0% 0/6 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 67% 4/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
KCCA
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
UPDF
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
KCCA face UPDF in Premier League. KCCA have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (2 points per game). UPDF have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 22% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With evenly matched metrics (14% vs 31%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 14% win probability for KCCA, a 55% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for UPDF. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.22 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at MTN Omondi Stadium as part of the Premier League.
