UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
Ararat-Armenia
Home
0-4
Full time
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
AZ Alkmaar
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
15%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ararat-Armenia wins
0
Draws
0
AZ Alkmaar wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
66%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Ararat-Armenia
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
AZ Alkmaar
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ararat-Armenia | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Ararat-Armenia
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
AZ Alkmaar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
AZ Alkmaar |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 36 |
Ararat-Armenia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ararat-Armenia face AZ Alkmaar in UEFA Europa League. Ararat-Armenia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). AZ Alkmaar have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
With a 71% probability backing Ararat-Armenia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ararat-Armenia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Ararat-Armenia, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for AZ Alkmaar. Our top recommended betting pick is Ararat-Armenia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 16:45 (East Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium as part of the UEFA Europa League.
