UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
Lech Poznan
Home
1-1
Full time
Stadion Miejski
Sunderland
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
12%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.27
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lech Poznan wins
0
Draws
0
Sunderland wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
40%
95%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
81%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Lech Poznan
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
3.25
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Sunderland
last 8 away from home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Lech Poznan | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Lech Poznan
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Sunderland
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
70%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lech Poznan face Sunderland in UEFA Europa League. Lech Poznan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 9 (2 points per game). Sunderland have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 81% probability backing Lech Poznan, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lech Poznan to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for Lech Poznan, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Sunderland. Our top recommended betting pick is Lech Poznan Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.27 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 16:45 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski as part of the UEFA Europa League.
