UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
Sturm Graz
Home
16:45
d ::
Merkur-Arena
Marseille
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.06 - 1.89
Win probability
Home
15%
Draw
22%
Away
63%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sturm Graz wins
0
Draws
0
Marseille wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
33%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
15%
Win probability
63%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sturm Graz face Marseille in UEFA Europa League. Sturm Graz have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Marseille have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Marseille's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 63% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Marseille to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 15% win probability for Sturm Graz, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 63% probability for Marseille. Our top recommended betting pick is Marseille Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 16:45 (East Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena as part of the UEFA Europa League.
