UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
Bournemouth
Home
3-0
Full time
Vitality Stadium
AC Milan
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.64 - 1.27
Win probability
Home
39%
Draw
26%
Away
35%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bournemouth wins
0
Draws
0
AC Milan wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
73%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
39%
Win probability
35%
Home and away record
Bournemouth
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
3.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
AC Milan
last 8 away from home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bournemouth | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Bournemouth
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
20%
Behind
10%
AC Milan
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Bournemouth face AC Milan in UEFA Europa League. Bournemouth have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). AC Milan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (39% vs 35%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 39% win probability for Bournemouth, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 35% probability for AC Milan. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium as part of the UEFA Europa League.
