UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
Jagiellonia
Home
0-3
Full time
Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku
Anderlecht
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.64
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
24%
Away
52%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Jagiellonia wins
0
Draws
0
Anderlecht wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
66%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
52%
Home and away record
Jagiellonia
last 8 at home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
2.13
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Anderlecht
last 8 away from home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Jagiellonia | Anderlecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Jagiellonia
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Anderlecht
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Jagiellonia face Anderlecht in UEFA Europa League. Jagiellonia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Anderlecht have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Anderlecht's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 52% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Anderlecht to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Jagiellonia, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 52% probability for Anderlecht. Our top recommended betting pick is Anderlecht Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku as part of the UEFA Europa League.
