Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.54 - 1.29
Win probability
Home
35%
Draw
29%
Away
36%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca wins
0
Draws
0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
35%
Win probability
36%
Home and away record
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
last 7 away from home
1W
3D
3L
0.86
points a game
0.57
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |
Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alebrijes de Oaxaca face Cruz Azul Hidalgo in Liga de Expansión MX. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game). Cruz Azul Hidalgo have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (35% vs 36%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 35% win probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 36% probability for Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
