Persha Liga · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Metal Kharkiv
Home
0-2
Full time
OSC Metalist
Yarud Mariupol'
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.71
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
28%
Away
55%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Metal Kharkiv wins
0
Draws
0
Yarud Mariupol' wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
86%
13%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
55%
Home and away record
Metal Kharkiv
last 5 at home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Yarud Mariupol'
last 7 away from home
4W
2D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.14
scored a game
0.86
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Metal Kharkiv | Yarud Mariupol' | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Metal Kharkiv
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
Yarud Mariupol'
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Yarud Mariupol' |
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +9 | 28 |
| 8 |
Metal Kharkiv |
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Metal Kharkiv face Yarud Mariupol' in Persha Liga. Metal Kharkiv have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0.4 points per game). Yarud Mariupol' have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 42%.
Yarud Mariupol''s counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 55% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Yarud Mariupol' to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Metal Kharkiv, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 55% probability for Yarud Mariupol'. Our top recommended betting pick is Yarud Mariupol' Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 42%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at OSC Metalist as part of the Persha Liga.
