Liga 3 · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Merani Tbilisi
Home
0-4
Full time
Venue TBC
Saburtalo II
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.59 - 1.31
Win probability
Home
37%
Draw
26%
Away
37%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Merani Tbilisi wins
0
Draws
0
Saburtalo II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
46%
80%
Attack
80%
60%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
37%
Win probability
37%
Home and away record
Merani Tbilisi
last 6 at home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.17
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Saburtalo II
last 7 away from home
3W
3D
1L
1.71
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Merani Tbilisi | Saburtalo II | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Merani Tbilisi
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Saburtalo II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Saburtalo II |
25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | +22 | 46 |
| 5 |
Merani Tbilisi |
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Merani Tbilisi face Saburtalo II in Liga 3. Merani Tbilisi have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game). Saburtalo II have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (37% vs 37%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 37% win probability for Merani Tbilisi, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 37% probability for Saburtalo II. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga 3.
