Premyer Liqa · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Araz
Home
1-2
Full time
Shamakhi City Stadium
Qabala
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
30%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Araz wins
0
Draws
0
Qabala wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
20%
26%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Araz
last 4 at home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Qabala
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Araz | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 6/8 75% |
At half time
Araz
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Qabala
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Araz face Qabala in Premyer Liqa. Araz have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game). Qabala have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 13 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 47% probability backing Araz, home advantage and superior chance creation make Araz to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Araz, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Qabala. Our top recommended betting pick is Araz Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Shamakhi City Stadium as part of the Premyer Liqa.
