AFC Challenge League · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Ahal
Home
2-1
Full time
Changlimithang Stadium
Al Ansar
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.18 - 1.84
Win probability
Home
20%
Draw
20%
Away
61%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ahal wins
0
Draws
0
Al Ansar wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
86%
66%
Attack
60%
20%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
20%
Win probability
61%
Home and away record
Ahal
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.40
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Al Ansar
last 4 away from home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ahal | Al Ansar | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 89% 8/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Ahal
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
Al Ansar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ahal face Al Ansar in AFC Challenge League. Ahal have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 12 (1.4 points per game). Al Ansar have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
Al Ansar's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 61% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Al Ansar to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 20% win probability for Ahal, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 61% probability for Al Ansar. Our top recommended betting pick is Al Ansar Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Changlimithang Stadium as part of the AFC Challenge League.
