AFC Challenge League · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Istiqlol
Home
0-2
Full time
Hisor Central Stadium
Wathba
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.19
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
38%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
43%
2.19
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
29%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.6
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Istiqlol wins
0
Draws
0
Wathba wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
73%
46%
Attack
40%
86%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
34%
Home and away record
Istiqlol
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Wathba
last 4 away from home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Istiqlol | Wathba | |
|---|---|---|
| 25% 2/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 0% 0/8 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 63% 5/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Istiqlol
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Wathba
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
43%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Istiqlol face Wathba in AFC Challenge League. Istiqlol have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (1.8 points per game). Wathba have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 29% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With evenly matched metrics (27% vs 34%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Istiqlol, a 38% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for Wathba. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.6 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Hisor Central Stadium as part of the AFC Challenge League.
