Premyer Liqa · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Zira
Home
3-2
Full time
Zira Stadium
Sumqayıt
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
25%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Zira wins
0
Draws
0
Sumqayıt wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
53%
20%
Attack
60%
40%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Zira
last 7 at home
4W
3D
0L
2.14
points a game
1.71
scored a game
0.57
conceded a game
Sumqayıt
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Zira | Sumqayıt | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Zira
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Sumqayıt
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
Zira face Sumqayıt in Premyer Liqa. Zira have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Sumqayıt have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Zira, home advantage and superior chance creation make Zira to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Zira, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Sumqayıt. Our top recommended betting pick is Zira Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Zira Stadium as part of the Premyer Liqa.
