Eerste Divisie · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
De Graafschap
Home
1-1
Full time
De Vijverberg
Waalwijk
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.01 - 2.11
Win probability
Home
13%
Draw
12%
Away
73%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
De Graafschap wins
0
Draws
0
Waalwijk wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
53%
53%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
13%
Win probability
73%
Home and away record
De Graafschap
last 8 at home
2W
0D
6L
0.75
points a game
1.88
scored a game
3.38
conceded a game
Waalwijk
last 5 away from home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| De Graafschap | Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
De Graafschap
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Waalwijk
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
De Graafschap face Waalwijk in Eerste Divisie. De Graafschap have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Waalwijk have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 68%.
Waalwijk's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 73% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Waalwijk to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 13% win probability for De Graafschap, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 73% probability for Waalwijk. Our top recommended betting pick is Waalwijk Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 68% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at De Vijverberg as part of the Eerste Divisie.
