Eerste Divisie · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Jong AZ
Home
5-4
Full time
AFAS Trainingscomplex
Helmond Sport
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.26 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
65%
Draw
13%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.2
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Jong AZ wins
0
Draws
0
Helmond Sport wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
26%
73%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
65%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Jong AZ
last 7 at home
4W
0D
3L
1.71
points a game
1.86
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Helmond Sport
last 5 away from home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
1.20
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Jong AZ | Helmond Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Jong AZ
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Helmond Sport
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Jong AZ face Helmond Sport in Eerste Divisie. Jong AZ have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (1 points per game). Helmond Sport have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 71%.
With a 65% probability backing Jong AZ, home advantage and superior chance creation make Jong AZ to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 65% win probability for Jong AZ, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Helmond Sport. Our top recommended betting pick is Jong AZ Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.2 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 71% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex as part of the Eerste Divisie.
