FAW Championship · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Carmarthen Town
Home
1-3
Full time
Richmond Park
Caerphilly Athletic
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
13%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.26
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Carmarthen Town wins
0
Draws
0
Caerphilly Athletic wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
60%
6%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
76%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Carmarthen Town
last 7 at home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
2.57
scored a game
2.86
conceded a game
Caerphilly Athletic
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.80
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Carmarthen Town | Caerphilly Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 100% 10/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 100% 10/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Carmarthen Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Caerphilly Athletic
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Carmarthen Town |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 |
Caerphilly Athletic |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Carmarthen Town face Caerphilly Athletic in FAW Championship. Carmarthen Town have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 14 (0.4 points per game). Caerphilly Athletic have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
With a 76% probability backing Carmarthen Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Carmarthen Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for Carmarthen Town, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Caerphilly Athletic. Our top recommended betting pick is Carmarthen Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.26 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Richmond Park as part of the FAW Championship.
